All. By our estimates, the Democrat is on track to win by 45 points, compared to 30 points in '22 and 36 points in '20. twitter. david senak now. Politics Podcast: Could Nikki Haley Actually Win The GOP Nomination? As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators would be all that different from 50 and how the Electoral Count Reform Act could prevent future attempts to meddle with American elections. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. Feb. 28GLASTONBURY When Jonathan K. Luiz starts work as town manager March 31, he will be making $190,000 per year. The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.". Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. They also debate the usefulness of new polling on Americans superhero preferences by partisanship and preview the upcoming Jan. 6 hearings. apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. Most recently, he ran and hosted 30 for 30 Podcasts, part of ESPN Films. They also look at the politics of two hot button issues in the Senate and speak with Carlos Odio of Equis Research about how Latino voters are viewing the two parties in 2022. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At UFC 285,A pair of championships are on the line at UFC 285 in Las Vegas Saturday night, and both title bouts offer a study in contrasts. The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. So, the usual. The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. Join. Thats Changing. The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. The crew tries to rank the electoral significance of some of the biggest stories in the news right now. Whereas Tester . The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. . The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. It's easy. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. LS 81 Global Rank TOP 0.01% ABOUT THIS PODCAST Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". Tuesday night was a test for some big names in the Republican Party in Wyoming and Alaska. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. 11:03 AM. File Upload. The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. Today, we wanted to share the first episode of the ABC News podcast series, "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson," which uncovers the former first lady's surprisingly powerful role in the Johnson presidency and includes history-making revelations about Lyndon B. Johnsons time in office. The crew discusses how Bidens approval rating may impact the midterm election, whether tracking Google search terms over time is a better barometer than traditional polling, and how Black voters are changing the political landscape of Georgia. Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. The crew discusses how Russias invasion of Ukraine is affecting U.S. politics and the RAND Corportation's Samuel Charap joins to explain the root of Russia's aggression. New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent movement in the forecast and answer questions from listeners. FiveThirtyEight Politics 295 views 25 Feb 2021 Transcribe your podcast [00:00:06] Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.Website: http:. 01:00 PM. No place like 'Nam. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. They determine whether we live in a free or repres ( Businessweek) The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses. 9 days ago. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. [00:00:19] They also look ahead to how the Department of Justice will navigate the complexities of deciding whether to bring charges against Trump and how a Republican majority in the House could respond. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. The State Of The Polls, 2016. Find us at ThisDayPod.com. We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on whats happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly. Nate Silver's. Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. Almost a year after the 2020 Democratic National Convention, the crew looks back at the record number of Democrats who ran for president in 2020 and assesses where they are now. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. As Congress considers legislation that would decriminalize marijuana and end the sentencing disparity for crack and cocaine offenses, Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight contributor Lester Black about what Americans think should be done about drugs and how politicians are responding. Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate.

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